Published:
November 8, 2024

UA Quarterly

Market and Economic Conditions Update (Jun 2024):

The second quarter of 2024 delivered mixed returns...

Market and Economic Conditions Update as at June 2024

The second quarter of 2024 delivered mixed returns across asset classes with International Equities and Infrastructure being the best performers for the period.

The positive gains seen in International Equities were largely attributed to the outperformance of the ‘Magnificent 7’ in the US relative to the broader market as the cash rate narrative moved in varying directions across the globe.

Australian Equities

Australian Equities fell over the course of the second quarter after trading sideways for the final two months as equities battled with expectations of rate cuts in foreign markets versus stickier than expected inflation locally.

During the quarter the best performing sectors were Utilities (+12.08%) Information Technology (+2.83%), Financials (+2.66%) and Healthcare (+1.88%). The worst performers were REITs (-7.14%), Energy (-6.89%), Materials (-5.93%), Industrials (-5.15%), and Communication Services (-4.93%).

The best performing company for the quarter was Telix Pharmaceuticals (TLX), up over 44%, as the company rose on stronger than expected earnings and positive data from a clinical trial. The worst performing was Fletcher Building (FBU), after it lowered its FY guidance materially. It finished the quarter down almost 30%.

International Equities

The MSCI World ex-Aus Total Return index had a positive Q2, rising 0.28%, with Tech (+11.25%) and Communication Services (+7.79%) the significant outperformers while Utilities (+2.05%) also outperformed. The worst performers were REITs (-4.15%), Materials (-3.90%), Consumer Discretionary (-2.77%) and Industrials (-2.62%).

US equities were strong over the quarter, the S&P 500 rose 3.92%, the Nasdaq the best performer +8.26%, while the broader Russell 2000 was in the red, falling -3.62%. European equities were mixed with the Euro Stoxx ending the quarter -3.58% after the political climate shifted with French elections, while the FTSE was one of the better performing global indices rising +2.66%.

Real Assets

Infrastructure and Property had mixed performance over the quarter as rate cut dynamics shifted across the globe. Global listed property fell 2.06% while global listed infrastructure rose +0.52%.

Fixed Income

Fixed income returns fell across domestic and international markets as yields pushed higher due to changing rate cut expectations. International fixed income markets were weaker -0.16%, while Australian Fixed Income was also weak, -0.84%.

Currency Markets

The US dollar index (DXY) carried on from the first quarter, rising +1.32% in the second quarter, while the AUD/USD strengthened, rising 2.28% from just above 65c to 66.7c as the contrasting inflation dynamics became more apparent.

Commodities

Commodities had unwound some of the strength they saw at the start of the year, with Brent crude price falling -1.22%, to finish at US$86.41/barrel. Iron ore rebounded after its poor first quarter rising back above US$100/t (+7.44%) to finish the second quarter at US$101.92/t. Precious Metals were positive with Gold rising +4.34% to close at US$2,326.75, while Silver had a very strong quarter, outperforming Gold and rising +16.74%.

Important Information: This content is issued by Mason Stevens Asset Management Pty Limited, ABN 92 141 447 654 (MSAM).MSAM is a corporate authorised representative (CAR 461312) of Mason Stevens Limited, ABN 91 141 447207, AFSL 351578 (Mason Stevens). The information provided is of a general nature only and does not have regard to any individual’s personal objectives, financial situation, or needs. You should consider this information, along with all your other investments and strategies when assessing the appropriateness of the information to your individual circumstances. MSAM encourages seeking specific professional advice from a licensed financial adviser before making a decision to transact in relation to any investment, security, or strategy. Investment in securities including derivatives involves risks. Securities by nature will rise and fall and therefore past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. MSAM and its associates and their respective directors and other staff each declare that they may hold interests in securities and/or earn fees or other benefits from transactions arising as a result of information contained inthis communication. MSAM ensures that the information provided in this communication is as accurate and complete as possible but does not warrant itsaccuracy or reliability. References made to any third party, or their data is based on information that Mason Stevens believes to be true and accurate asat the date of this communication but is without independent verification. Opinions and or information may change without notice and Mason Stevens isnot obliged to update you if the information changes. Mason Stevens and its associated companies, authorised representatives, agents, and employeesexclude to the full extent by law, liability of whatever kind, including negligence, contract, fiduciary duties or otherwise, to investors or anyone else inrespect of any loss or damage, including indirect or consequential loss or damage, foreseeable or not, arising from or in connection with this information.

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